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Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS): Future Climate

Metadata Updated: January 22, 2026

This digital dataset contains the baseline and future climate data used as the basis for analysis of current and future water supplies and demands in the Salinas and Carmel Rivers Basin Study (SCRBS). SCRBS uses a suite of integrated hydrologic models to explore impacts of future climate and socioeconomic scenarios on water supplies and demands in the basins. SCRBS considers one baseline climate scenario that represents recent historical climate conditions and five future climate scenarios that encompass the range of uncertainty in projections of future climate conditions through the end of the 21st century. The baseline scenario was developed by removing trends from an observed historical climate dataset such that the long-term monthly mean and variance over the full period of record (1931-2015) are consistent with observed historical averages over the baseline period (1980-2009). Future climate scenarios were developed by adjusting the baseline scenario to reflect projected changes in the distributions of monthly precipitation and temperature. The five future climate scenarios reflect the range of projected changes across an ensemble of statistically downscaled climate projections: Hot-Wet (HW), Warm-Wet (WW), Hot-Dry (HD), Warm-Dry (WD), and Central Tendency (CT). Analysis of future climate conditions was based on the Localized Constructed Analogues (LOCA) dataset, which includes statistically downscaled climate projections from global climate models (Pierce and others, 2014). Baseline and future climate scenarios were spatially downscaled from a native 1/16° grid to a 270-meter grid. The data set includes daily 270-meter gridded spatially distributed daily precipitation (PPT), maximum and minimum air temperature (TMX and TMN, respectively), and potential evapotranspiration (PET) from 1/1/2016 to 12/31/2100. Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., and Thrasher, B. L., 2014, Statistical downscaling using Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA): Journal of Hydrometeorology, v. 15, no. 6, p. 2558-2585, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-14-0082.1.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

Downloads & Resources

Dates

Metadata Created Date January 12, 2026
Metadata Updated Date January 22, 2026

Metadata Source

Harvested from DOI USGS DCAT-US

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date January 12, 2026
Metadata Updated Date January 22, 2026
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Maintainer
Identifier http://datainventory.doi.gov/id/dataset/USGS_658cb33cd34e3265ab1464cd
Data Last Modified 2024-03-21T00:00:00Z
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 010:12
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Metadata Catalog ID https://ddi.doi.gov/usgs-data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Datagov Dedupe Retained 20260121204831
Harvest Object Id 27bfb9b2-62d4-47e2-9c02-528ddba25b25
Harvest Source Id 2b80d118-ab3a-48ba-bd93-996bbacefac2
Harvest Source Title DOI USGS DCAT-US
Metadata Type geospatial
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Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash b2b6547501834e354a75f3af9ddebe2b6e59a9671212d5e13f75a7059cde1302
Source Schema Version 1.1
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