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    • Burn probability models calibrated using past human and lightning ignition patterns in the Madrean Sky Islands, Arizona

    Metadata Updated: January 21, 2026

    Burn probability (BP) models involve the simulation of multiple individual wildfires across a landscape to obtain estimates of fire likelihood at any given location based on ignition source, local terrain, fuels and weather. We used FlamMap software to generate BP for 10,000 simulated fires under the three ignition scenarios: human ignition scenario (HIS), lightning ignition scenario (LIS) and random ignition scenario (RIS) for 13 sky island mountain ranges in Arizona. The zipped folder contains 42 BP models in geotiff format. The naming convention for each tiff is: mountain_range_name + scenario type (human, lightning, or random) + bp.

    Access & Use Information

    Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

    Downloads & Resources

    Dates

    Metadata Created Date January 11, 2026
    Metadata Updated Date January 21, 2026

    Metadata Source

    Harvested from DOI USGS DCAT-US

    Other Data Resources

    Additional Metadata

    Resource Type Dataset
    Metadata Created Date January 11, 2026
    Metadata Updated Date January 21, 2026
    Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
    Maintainer
    Identifier http://datainventory.doi.gov/id/dataset/USGS_61b919ecd34e9e224ac122f7
    Data Last Modified 2022-02-07T00:00:00Z
    Category geospatial
    Public Access Level public
    Bureau Code 010:12
    Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
    Metadata Catalog ID https://ddi.doi.gov/usgs-data.json
    Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
    Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
    Datagov Dedupe Retained 20260121062710
    Harvest Object Id 7b75627a-9515-4168-b1fb-1da14ff25666
    Harvest Source Id 2b80d118-ab3a-48ba-bd93-996bbacefac2
    Harvest Source Title DOI USGS DCAT-US
    Metadata Type geospatial
    Old Spatial {"type": "Polygon", "coordinates": -111.9287, 31.3255, -111.9287, 33.1743, -108.5559, 33.1743, -108.5559, 31.3255, -111.9287, 31.3255}
    Source Datajson Identifier True
    Source Hash 58b4e476688236717e14b678e78ea91a0dbe96125643de9dd36563d6c93e0df2
    Source Schema Version 1.1
    Spatial {"type": "Polygon", "coordinates": -111.9287, 31.3255, -111.9287, 33.1743, -108.5559, 33.1743, -108.5559, 31.3255, -111.9287, 31.3255}

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